Wednesday, 29 October 2014

Everything you think you know about the news is probably wrong

An Israeli Border Policeman and a Palestinian scream at each other face to face in the Old City of Jerusalem October 13, 2000 as the Palestinian is refused entry to the al-Aqsa mosque for Friday prayers. Israeli security forces prevented thousands of Palestinians from attending Friday prayers over concern for continued unrest and clashes following the prayers due to the increased tensions and fighting in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. REUTERS/Amit Shabi

Around the world, people have a pretty good sense of the life expectancy of their country’s inhabitants.


When it comes to most other social statistics, they have no idea.


That’s the conclusion to be drawn from a study of public perception in 14 countries by Ipsos MORI, a UK-based market research firm. Ipsos polled over 11,000 residents in total about a range of social factors—from immigration to teen pregnancy to religious demographics. Here is the overall “Index of Ignorance,” from least to most informed:


1. Italy

2. US

3. South Korea

4. Poland

5. Hungary

6. France

7. Canada

8. Belgium

9. Australia

10. Great Britain

11. Spain

12. Japan

13. Germany

14. Sweden


And here’s how each country stacked up on the individual issues. In the charts below, the “Guess” column represents the average of answers given by those polled. The “Difference” column represents the number of percentage points by which people missed the mark, on average. The “Actual Value” column is the actual statistic for each country.


Teen pregnancy


The US has the highest rate of teen pregnancy, which might be why the country overestimates it the most.



Religion


People were prone to overestimating the number of Muslims in their country, and underestimating the number of Christians.




Immigration


Every country overestimated its percentage of immigrants.



Voting


Every country underestimated the percentage of people who vote in a major election.



Unemployment


Everyone substantially overestimates unemployment in their country.



Life Expectancy


But people have a pretty good sense of how long their children are expected to live.





Everything you think you know about the news is probably wrong

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